DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (41.6 per game) this year.
The model projects DeAndre Hopkins to notch 8.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After averaging 111.0 air yards per game last season, DeAndre Hopkins has gotten better this season, currently boasting 122.0 per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Titans to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Titans have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
DeAndre Hopkins has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).

More DeAndre Hopkins Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow