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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has accumulated a colossal 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 54.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 91st percentile for wideouts.

  • THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be much less involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (24.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.6% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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