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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

DeAndre Carter Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-8750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -8750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Opposing teams have run for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.68 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While DeAndre Carter has accounted for 7.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Cleveland's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 1.3%.

The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the 5th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.89 per game since the start of last season.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of CBs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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