DeAndre Carter Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-568).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -514 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -568.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Carter to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (11.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.0% in games he has played).
DeAndre Carter's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 61.1% to 80.4%.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 10th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

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