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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dawson Knox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+460/-570).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -380 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -570.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the porous Panthers defense has yielded a staggering 0.57 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dawson Knox's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 70.5% to 62.8%.

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