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Dawson Knox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-375).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +700 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +280.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The predictive model expects Dawson Knox to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the end zone in this contest (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Dawson Knox has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (11.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).

Dawson Knox's 66.3% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a noteable regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 70.5% mark.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6