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Dawson Knox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-460).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -460 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -460.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

While Dawson Knox has garnered 7.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Buffalo's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 14.7%.

The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

Dawson Knox's 65.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.5% figure.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12