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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Dawson Knox has run fewer routes this season (42.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.6%).

More Dawson Knox Player Props

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