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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-193/+143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -193.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dawson Knox's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 16.1.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.9% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the strong Eagles defense has conceded a paltry 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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