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Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

Dawson Knox's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Dawson Knox's 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last year's 70.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

This year, the stout Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a feeble 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 16