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This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 45.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.Dawson Knox profiles as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching a measly 68.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.This year, the fierce Bengals defense has conceded a mere 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.
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