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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Falcons defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a massive 5.41 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Dawson Knox has run fewer routes this season (42.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.6%).

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