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Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-111/-111).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects Dawson Knox to earn 4.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.While Dawson Knox has been responsible for 10.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Buffalo's pass game this week at 16.0%.Dawson Knox has accounted for a monstrous 10.1% of his team's air yards this year: 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.With an outstanding 9.5 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox ranks as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Dawson Knox's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a noteable decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.3% mark.This year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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