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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dawson Knox has accounted for a monstrous 10.1% of his team's air yards this year: 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Dawson Knox's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 16.1.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 9.5 adjusted yards per target (88th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox ranks as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.9% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dawson Knox's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a noteable decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.3% mark.
  • This year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
  • This year, the stout Eagles defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a measly 5.5 yards.

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