reorder

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

Dawson Knox ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 9.8% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Dawson Knox's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Dawson Knox's 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last year's 70.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Dawson Knox's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.27 rate last season.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16