reorder

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a remarkable 60.6% snap rate (77th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox has been as one of the running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Dawson Knox has earned a massive 9.6% of his team's air yards this year: 80th percentile among TEs.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

With a fantastic 9.3 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox ranks among the best TE receiving threats in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Dawson Knox's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.27 mark last year.

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15