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Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.

While Dawson Knox has accounted for 7.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Buffalo's passing attack in this contest at 13.0%.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (68.0) versus TEs this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.9%) vs. TEs this year (80.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Dawson Knox's 66.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.5% rate.

Dawson Knox's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.61 figure last season.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13