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Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

With a remarkable 9.8 adjusted yards per target (88th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox rates among the leading pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

This year, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for a whopping 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 5th-worst in the league.

This year, the anemic Dolphins pass defense has given up a whopping 86.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

The Miami defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 121.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

Dawson Knox's 44.6% Route% this year conveys a significant decrease in his passing attack utilization over last year's 54.6% figure.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

Dawson Knox Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10