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Davis Mills

Davis Mills TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Davis Mills TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -181 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans will be forced to start backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 64.1% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Houston Texans.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The projections expect Davis Mills to throw 35.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • With a subpar 56.1% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Davis Mills ranks as one of the least accurate QBs in football.
  • With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 per game (1st percentile), Davis Mills ranks as one of the bottom touchdown passers in football since the start of last season.
  • This year, the fierce Jaguars defense has yielded a feeble 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-smallest rate in football.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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