reorder

Davis Mills Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Davis Mills Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.22 seconds per play.

After taking on 1.3% of his team's run game usage last year, Davis Mills has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 7.9%.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (150 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans will be forced to utilize backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Texans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 38.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

In this week's game, Davis Mills is anticipated by the model to notch the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.5.

More Davis Mills Player Props

Davis Mills Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Davis Mills Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12