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Davis Mills Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Davis Mills Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 211.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans will be forced to start backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

With a 64.1% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Houston Texans.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The projections expect Davis Mills to throw 35.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

With a very bad record of 54.0 adjusted passing yards per game (21st percentile), Davis Mills places as one of the weakest passers in the league since the start of last season.

With a subpar 56.1% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Davis Mills ranks as one of the least accurate QBs in football.

With a bad 5.44 adjusted yards-per-target (12th percentile) since the start of last season, Davis Mills has been among the least effective QBs in the league.

This year, the fierce Jaguars defense has yielded a feeble 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

More Davis Mills Player Props

Davis Mills Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Davis Mills Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10