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Davis Mills Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Davis Mills Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.22 seconds per play.

After taking on 1.3% of his team's run game usage last year, Davis Mills has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 7.9%.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans will be forced to utilize backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Texans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 38.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

In this week's game, Davis Mills is anticipated by the model to notch the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.5.

More Davis Mills Player Props

Davis Mills CarriesPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Davis Mills Carries
Player Prop Week 12