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Davis Mills

Davis Mills Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Davis Mills Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 45.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • After accounting for 1.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Davis Mills has had a larger role in the running game this year, currently comprising 7.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Davis Mills.

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