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David Sills

David Sills Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
David Sills Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +480 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +425.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • While David Sills has been responsible for 3.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Atlanta's passing offense near the end zone this week at 14.7%.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • The Jets defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 49.9% red zone run rate.
  • As it relates to air yards, David Sills grades out in the paltry 25th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging just 13.0 per game.
  • David Sills's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 13th percentile for wideouts.

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