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David Sills

David Sills Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
David Sills Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+680/-900).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +660 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +680.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • While David Sills has earned 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Atlanta's passing offense near the goal line this week at 9.1%.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Saints defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, David Sills grades out in the paltry 22nd percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing just 12.0 per game.
  • David Sills rates in just the 13th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with an unimpressive 7.3 mark this year.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of David Sills's trading card this year.

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