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David Sills

David Sills Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
David Sills Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-205/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • David Sills ranks as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a measly 1.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • With a poor 48.9% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) this year, David Sills has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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