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David Sills

David Sills Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
David Sills Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -212 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a feeble 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (13th percentile) this year, David Sills rates as one of the bottom WRs in the league in the league.
  • David Sills profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching just 53.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile among wideouts
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) vs. WRs this year (59.0%).
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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