reorder

David Sills Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

David Sills Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+165/-206).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -222 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -206.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The model projects David Sills to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this game (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

David Sills comes in as one of the worst WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 12th percentile among WRs.

David Sills checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 52.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts

More David Sills Player Props

David Sills ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

David Sills Receptions
Player Prop Week 13