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David Sills

David Sills Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
David Sills Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The model projects David Sills to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this game (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to air yards, David Sills grades out in the paltry 25th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging just 13.0 per game.
  • With a poor 9.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (4th percentile) this year, David Sills rates as one of the bottom WRs in the league in the league.
  • David Sills checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 52.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts

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