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David Sills

David Sills Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
David Sills Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • While David Sills has accounted for 2.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Atlanta's passing attack in this week's game at 10.0%.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, David Sills grades out in the paltry 22nd percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing just 12.0 per game.
  • David Sills comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 7.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 5th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • This year, the strong Saints defense has surrendered a meager 123.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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