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David Sills Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.This year, the poor Colts defense has been torched for a whopping 169.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-most in the NFL.This year, the anemic Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded a colossal 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.With a lousy 2.4% Target Rate (12th percentile) this year, David Sills has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in football.When talking about air yards, David Sills grades out in just the 25th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging just 11.0 per game.With a lackluster 6.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (3rd percentile) this year, David Sills ranks among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in football.
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