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David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+490/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -475 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • This year, the deficient New England Patriots defense has been torched for a staggering 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.43 per game) versus the Patriots defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, New England's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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