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David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-475).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +495 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.6 per game on average).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • The model projects David Njoku to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (22.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played).
  • This year, the feeble Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 79.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last season, David Njoku has gotten worse this season, currently boasting 35.0 per game.
  • David Njoku's 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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