My Account Log Out

reorder

David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+395/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -435 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -450.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a huge 10-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

David Njoku's 33.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 48.6.

David Njoku's 69.6% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 72.6% rate.

This year, David Njoku has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.1%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (69.1%).

More David Njoku Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™