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David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-455).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +395 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

David Njoku has accrued a whopping 52.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While David Njoku has garnered 31.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 19.4%.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a puny 0.26 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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