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David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-840).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +520 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +520.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 58.8 plays per game.
  • With a sizeable 18.2% Red Zone Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, David Njoku stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • This year, the poor Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 53.0 air yards per game last season, David Njoku has regressed heavily this season, now averaging 24.0 per game.

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