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David Njoku

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -940 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.1 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • David Njoku has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • With an impressive rate of 0.30 per game through the air (79th percentile), David Njoku places as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • David Njoku has notched quite a few less air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • David Njoku's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 48.6.
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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