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David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-700).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +580 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

With an elite 18.4% Red Zone Target Share (84th percentile) this year, David Njoku ranks among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.

David Njoku ranks in the 80th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.30 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.5 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

David Njoku has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

David Njoku's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

More David Njoku Player Props

David Njoku TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12