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David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-420).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.

David Njoku has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.

The Jets defense has allowed the most touchdowns through the air in football to TEs: 0.75 per game this year.

The New York defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

David Njoku has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

David Njoku's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 48.6.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.

David Njoku's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 72.6% to 69.2%.

More David Njoku Player Props

David Njoku TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10