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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.6 per game on average).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, David Njoku is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • David Njoku's 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • David Njoku's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 5.9 rate.

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