My Account Log Out

reorder

David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.22 seconds per play.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The projections expect David Njoku to accumulate 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.2 per game) this year.

David Njoku's 13.1% Target% this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his passing offense utilization over last season's 24.9% mark.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

David Njoku's receiving skills have worsened this season, averaging a measly 2.8 adjusted receptions compared to 5.9 last season.

More David Njoku Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™