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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.
  • The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The predictive model expects David Njoku to garner 5.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.4% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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