reorder

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -4-point underdog in this game.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.3 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

David Njoku's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

David Njoku's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a material diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 5.9 figure.

More David Njoku Player Props

David Njoku ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 12