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David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year.

The projections expect David Njoku to accrue 4.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being called for in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.

David Njoku's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 48.6.

In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.

David Njoku's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.9 figure.

More David Njoku Player Props

David Njoku ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 11