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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects David Njoku to accumulate 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of LBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • David Njoku's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 48.6.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • David Njoku's receiving skills have diminished this season, compiling just 3.4 adjusted catches vs 5.9 last season.
  • David Njoku's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 72.6% to 69.2%.

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