David Njoku Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to earn 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this year (20.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.8%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
David Njoku's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.8 yards per game compared to just 2.5 last season.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in football (54%) to TEs this year (54.0%).
The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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