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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • The Patriots pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 9.05 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 10th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.

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