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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a huge 10-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

David Njoku's 33.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 48.6.

David Njoku has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

David Njoku's 69.6% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 72.6% rate.

David Njoku's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.92 figure last year.

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