My Account Log Out
 
 
David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -4-point underdog in this game.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • David Njoku's receiving effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 5.88 mark last year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.3 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • David Njoku has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • David Njoku's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™