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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
  • This week, David Njoku is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • David Njoku's talent in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, totaling 8.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 5.22 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • David Njoku has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, David Njoku has been utilized much less in his offense's air attack.
  • David Njoku's 43.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a substantial regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 50.0 rate.
  • David Njoku's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 77.2% to 73.6%.

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