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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, David Njoku is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

After totaling 45.0 air yards per game last year, David Njoku has produced significantly fewer this year, now sitting at 18.0 per game.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, David Njoku has been relied on much less in his offense's pass attack.

David Njoku's 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 50.0 figure.

David Njoku's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 8.9 rate.

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